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Market Overview PDF Print E-mail


CIGNET highly recommend that you visit the LSL Property Services / Acadametrics House Price Index (formerly the Financial Times House Price Index) site for detailed UK residential market updates. We consider this to be one of the most comprehensive data sets available.

AcadaHPI is the only UK house price index based upon every residential property transaction in England and Wales and is designed to provide a “true measure of house price inflation”. AcadaHPI has been chosen by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the world's largest derivative exchange, for their proposed residential house price derivative.

In the latest report, released on 13th January 2011,Richard Sexton, director of e.surv comments: “The final month of 2011 saw a modest rise in prices, which rounded off a year of economic turmoil in which the property market showed remarkable resilience. Despite the growing fears of a debt crisis in the Eurozone, prices rose 0.7% in the second half of 2011 and, with high inflation and reasonably static prices, this has helped make property more and more affordable. While transactions fell slightly in 2011 compared to 2010, the last five months of 2011 all saw higher activity than 2010, boosted by the increasing number of buyers eager to make the most of the affordable – if hard to obtain – mortgage finance coming onto the market.

“But despite prices showing such astonishing staying power, 2012 is set to be another tough year. With the global economy in a parlous state, the size of mortgage advances, which rose in the last 12 months by 3.5%, could begin to decline. The stamp duty holiday for first-time buyers will end in April which means first-time buyers will have to stump up an extra £2,200. This is likely to create a rush in the first part of this year at the lower end of the market as buyers scramble to avoid the purchase tax – after that, we could see first-time buyer activity fall sharply. The government’s mortgage insurance scheme, which aims to boost the supply of mortgage finance to first-time buyers, will provide some help for those trying to get their foot on the ladder, but it’s unlikely it can offset the impact of the end of the tax holiday.”Richard Sexton, director of e.surv comments: “The final month of 2011 saw a modest rise in prices, which rounded off a year of economic turmoil in which the property market showed remarkable resilience. Despite the growing fears of a debt crisis in the Eurozone, prices rose 0.7% in the second half of 2011 and, with high inflation and reasonably static prices, this has helped make property more and more affordable. While transactions fell slightly in 2011 compared to 2010, the last five months of 2011 all saw higher activity than 2010, boosted by the increasing number of buyers eager to make the most of the affordable – if hard to obtain – mortgage finance coming onto the market.

“But despite prices showing such astonishing staying power, 2012 is set to be another tough year. With the global economy in a parlous state, the size of mortgage advances, which rose in the last 12 months by 3.5%, could begin to decline. The stamp duty holiday for first-time buyers will end in April which means first-time buyers will have to stump up an extra £2,200. This is likely to create a rush in the first part of this year at the lower end of the market as buyers scramble to avoid the purchase tax – after that, we could see first-time buyer activity fall sharply. The government’s mortgage insurance scheme, which aims to boost the supply of mortgage finance to first-time buyers, will provide some help for those trying to get their foot on the ladder, but it’s unlikely it can offset the impact of the end of the tax holiday.”

Property prices resist economic gloom

  • Property prices rose 0.2% to £220,385 in December, but fell 0.5% annually
  • London’s property values are 3.1% higher than last year
  • Wales joins London as the only other region to show annual house price growth
  • Transactions in 2011 fell 2.1% year on year, but activity in the second half of 2011 was faster than the year before

Annual House Price Growth - Comparison of Indices

(source: LSL Property Services/Acadametrics House Price Index September 2011)

(source: LSL Property Services/Acadametrics House Price Index September 2011)

Other Market data:

(source: HousePrices.uk.net)


(source: HousePrices.uk.net)
 

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